Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.706562 0.811152 0.925198 1.058694 1.210585 1.377943 1.576242
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.581180 0.729283 0.904739 1.127534 1.402523 1.730430 2.150749
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.488554 0.665517 0.891769 1.201254 1.612535 2.139196 2.863631
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.400240 0.588998 0.848200 1.228219 1.769012 2.508495 3.593604
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.339704 0.537224 0.827049 1.280080 1.966609 2.963372 4.514580
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.279919 0.473964 0.777107 1.280403 2.089336 3.331251 5.372285
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.239290 0.431854 0.750753 1.310635 2.260702 3.795979 6.448126
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.197567 0.379093 0.696987 1.285664 2.337420 4.121380 7.351320
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.175877 0.357067 0.691067 1.340462 2.556431 4.711524 8.782613
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.159602 0.341716 0.693975 1.410834 2.813122 5.401880 10.488188
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.139832 0.315315 0.671012 1.427584 2.971368 5.935361 11.982653
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.121545 0.288162 0.641472 1.425571 3.091506 6.412001 13.434071
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.106033 0.264242 0.615093 1.427160 3.222667 6.935523 15.068390
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.093458 0.244437 0.594053 1.436687 3.372415 7.518587 16.910551
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.084407 0.231195 0.585410 1.472596 3.585833 8.265103 19.204982
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.074120 0.212594 0.560743 1.466671 3.703285 8.820766 21.163252
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.067381 0.201864 0.553298 1.501165 3.921184 9.630390 23.805009
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.059070 0.184938 0.526949 1.483322 4.008740 10.152017 25.852595
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.053557 0.174810 0.516633 1.505511 4.200616 10.947353 28.662873
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.046541 0.158552 0.486450 1.468552 4.232786 11.357154 30.584443
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.043567 0.154244 0.489381 1.524832 4.524187 12.457665 34.396773
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.041407 0.152105 0.498321 1.600181 4.880417 13.773218 38.940021
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.037747 0.144066 0.487892 1.616124 5.070769 14.676315 42.511740